Finance advice

A third rate cut is unlikely

By Jessica Darnbrough

The Reserve Bank of Australia is unlikely to deliver a hat-trick of interest rate cuts when its board meets next week, according to a survey by Loan Market.

Loan Market corporate spokesman Paul Smith said a survey of the company’s mortgage brokers found 79 per cent believe the RBA will keep the cash rate at 3.5 per cent after announcing reductions in May and June.

Mr Smith said only 19 per cent of the 239 broker respondents thought the central bank could lower the official rate by 25 basis points while two per cent tipped a 50 basis points reduction.

“Mortgage holders will always be happy to see rates come down but this time it looks most likely that the RBA will be staying on the sidelines after back-to-back monthly reductions,” he said.

“The two interest rate cuts have yet to have a substantial impact on the housing and retail sectors but with other economic indicators such as inflation and unemployment, within targeted ranges, it appears the RBA is poised to leave rates unchanged.

“Consumer sentiment remains murky and difficult to project due to the European debt crisis and direction of the Australian economy. Many consumers will likely hold back spending until some resolutions appear both internationally and domestically.”

Should the Reserve Bank lower rates again next week, it will be the first time the RBA has applied three consecutive monthly rate cuts since the height of the global financial crisis.

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  ["title"]=>
  string(88) "‘Common’ referrer practice of being paid on both sides of the fence coming to an end"
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The practice of property investment firms sharing undisclosed kickbacks among the supply chain involved in development sales will be outlawed in NSW on 1 July this year under the Real Estate Reform being handed down by regulators in NSW.

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Property commentator and valuer, Suburbanite’s Anna Porter, said the reform will address conflicts of interest.

She said they arise when a mortgage broker, accountant or financial planner receives part of the commission from the property firm, who receive their fees from the developer or seller.

“This puts the broker into a position by which they are being paid on both sides of the fence,” she said.

“Until now this has been a grey area and there was nothing stopping this practice.” 

Ms Porter said this has been a common practice in the industry.

"Some well-known mortgage broking firms openly admit to receiving $5,000–$10,000 per referral in their pocket.”

She also said this process has been going on for decades.

"Property investment firms commonly pass some of their commission on to the mortgage broker, accountant or financial planner as a reward to them for passing on the referral. This means that many brokers or financial service providers are making significant amounts of money just to refer on to a property firm, often totalling hundreds of thousands of dollars a year," Anna Porter said.

Ms Porter said the Property, Stock and Business Agents Amendment (Property Industry Reform) Bill 2017 will be in force from July this year, and will prohibit this practice unless the broker or referring partner also holds a real estate industry license.

"Under the new laws, if the broker takes a referral fee from the property firm, they will have to be a licensed real estate agent and also hold a corporation’s license,” she said. 

“Subsequently, every transaction that they receive a referral fee from, they will be putting their license up against the transaction and taking full liability for the conduct, practices and outcome of that transaction, even if they have little to do with the transaction; they are a party to it financially and therefore take as much risk as everyone else in the transaction.”

Mr Porter said where a referrer holds a real estate license, and receives a part of the sale commission, they may find themselves in breach of the ethical requirements under the act.

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New data from Mortgage Choice shows that property buyers continue to choose variable rate home loan products, as demand for fixed rate home loans fell for the eighth consecutive month. 

" ["fulltext"]=> string(2018) "

According to the company’s latest national home loan approval data, variable rate home loans accounted for over 82 per cent of all home loans written throughout May 2018 — up over 2 per cent from the month prior, and almost 7 per cent higher than the 12-month average.

Mortgage Choice CEO, Susan Mitchell, said this trend will continue as borrowers develop apathy towards the RBA’s stagnant cash rate.

“Indeed, we continue to see borrowers opt for the flexible nature of variable rate home loans which may offer a redraw facility, offset accounts and the ability to make extra repayments. These features are not typically associated with fixed rate loans.

“While a fixed rate product provides repayment certainty, variable home loan rates have been relatively stable for a prolonged period of time giving borrowers little incentive to fix.”

This week’s Housing Finance data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics found that 52,116 home loans were approved throughout April, down 1.4 per cent from the previous month.

Ms Mitchell said she is unsurprised that the value of investment loans dipped — falling 0.9 of a percentage point to $10.7 billion in April.

She said this could reflect tighter lending standards and serviceability policies.

“However, May data may show an increase in investment loans following APRA lifting the cap on investor loan growth at the end of April,” said Ms Mitchell.

Ms Mitchell also noted that the number of first home buyer commitments as a percentage of total owner-occupied housing finance commitments rose to 17.6 per cent in April 2018, from 13.7 per cent in January 2018.

“This increase is significant and first home buyers seem to be propping up the market.”

Ms Mitchell said she expected home loan demand would be maintained.

“[Due to] a combination of factors, such as historically low interest rates, easing property prices and access to FHOGs.”

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Buyer ‘apathy’ behind mortgage preferences
object(stdClass)#1224 (52) {
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  ["title"]=>
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  string(150) "

The Australian property market is arguably in a softening phase, and this can have both positive and negative effects for property investors.

" ["fulltext"]=> string(2963) "

In this episode of the Smart Property Investment show, Real Estate Gym’s Tom Panos joins host Phil Tarrant to discuss how investors can take advantage of this decreasing market by leveraging off of the reduced urgency in the sales process.  He also discusses the importance of researching up to date sales data before investing and looks at the state of the Australian property market as a whole.

With many property investors also selling property throughout their journey Tom reveals the best months to buy property in Australia, shares his thoughts on why an auction is not always the best method of sale and how as a purchasing decision it can lead to over-paying.

If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on iTunes (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: FacebookTwitter and LinkedIn.

If you have any questions about what you heard today, any topics of interest you have in mind, or if you’d like to lend your voice to the show, email [email protected] for more insights!

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AREAS MENTIONED:

Hobart

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The benefits of investing in a decreasing property market

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