Finance advice

Rates to remain on hold despite tough Budget: AMP

By Staff Reporter

The cash rate is likely to remain on hold for months to come even if the federal Budget harms consumer confidence and spending, according to AMP Capital’s chief economist Shane Oliver.

Mr Oliver said the clear message from the RBA’s recent quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy is that interest rates will remain on hold for a while yet.

“The RBA only made minor changes to its economic forecasts – seeing growth this year and next of 2.75 per cent, before rising to 3.25 per cent in 2016, with near-term uncertainties remaining around the decline in mining investment and the pick-up in the non-mining economy,” he said.

“While the RBA is allowing for weak public demand, it would probably be loath to have to respond to excessive fiscal austerity by cutting interest rates again for fear of over-stimulating the housing market.”

Mr Oliver added that Australia’s financial situation is not as dire as the government is proclaiming.

“Our concern is that the government has exaggerated the budget problem – it’s a problem, but far from an emergency – and that this, combined with the political cycle which argues in favour of getting the budget pain over with early, will result in the government going too hard in terms of the fiscal austerity,” he said.

“The OECD [Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development] has rightly warned Australia that ‘heavy loading of fiscal consolidation should be avoided’. Right now, the economy is still a bit fragile with only tentative signs of improvement in the non-mining economy. But this could be snuffed out if the Budget is too tough. The key is to put policies in place that bring long-term spending growth under control, as opposed to adopting too much austerity in the short term. Hopefully this will be the case.”

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Tune in to the latest episode of Property Showcase, the podcast with the inside track on the products and businesses that will help turbocharge your portfolio, maximise returns and make your overall investment experience seamless and stress-free!

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To hear more about these services, make sure to tune into this episode of Property Showcase!

 Make sure you never miss an episode by subscribing to us now on iTunes!

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Many investors who would have been successfully approved for finance last year are struggling now to either begin or continue their property investment journey because of the current financial climate.

In this episode of the Smart Property Investment Show, broker John Manciamelli and Momentum Media director Alex Whitlock joins host Tim Neary to discuss how APRA changes and the royal commission have resulted in a tighter lending economy and what that means for Australian investors.

They discuss what traps investors should avoid if they are trying to obtain finance, the four key growth drivers in a property market and unpacking trust structures while revealing one type of trust that you should miss.

If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on iTunes (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: FacebookTwitter and LinkedIn.

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Katarina discusses about the team that she had help her along the way, why she thinks that you should never skimp on a good solicitor and accountant, and the red flags which tell her why buying a new property doesn’t necessarily mean buying a better property.

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If you have any questions about what you heard today, any topics of interest you have in mind, or if you’d like to lend your voice to the show, email [email protected] for more insights!

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The different reasons to start rentvesting

 

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More than just bricks and mortar, experts often regard property investment as a ‘game of finance’. As such, a good finance strategy can lead any investor to success.

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Why buying new property doesn’t mean buying better property

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