Finance advice

Housing sector strong but economy faces downturn

While the housing sector is predicted to drive economic growth over the next four years, Australia’s economy is in for tough times, according to a new prediction from economic forecaster BIS Shrapnel.

The company’s latest report indicated the housing industry is a bright spot in the economic outlook.

“The long-awaited recovery in dwelling investment is now entrenched,” the report stated.

“Having been delayed due to weak housing market sentiment and excessive caution by investors, the expectation of low interest rates for an extended period, combined with a substantial deficiency of residential stock, is driving a solid increase in dwellings building.”

Queensland and New South Wales were tipped as the growth leaders in dwelling construction due to sizeable stock deficiencies.

However, the overall economy is expected to slow over the next four years, according to BIS Shrapnel senior economist Richard Robinson.

“The upshot is that we are a long way from stable, balanced growth or what feels like a healthy economy,” Mr Robinson said.

The report predicts local consumption and investment expenditure will experience its weakest four-year period since the early-1990s recession.

The employment sector is also likely to stagnate over the short term.

“Employment growth will be soft. We expect that only 668,000 jobs will be created over these next four years,” Mr Robinson said.

“It’s little better than the last four years, and it will hardly make a dent in unemployment numbers.”

As mining investment is predicted to ease further, non-mining investment is not sufficiently high to replace the loss over the next four years, the report warns.

However, the economy is likely to pick up again towards the end of the decade.

“Strong growth will again resume from later this decade, with GDP and domestic demand growth lifting to around 3.5 per cent in 2018/2019 and strengthening through early next decade,” the report predicted.

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With the softening market impacting property values in many parts of Australia, Sally Wood, Opteon state director for NSW, ACT and Qld joins us to discuss the importance of valuations in the current property market

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Joining host Phil Tarrant, Sally will draw on her 25 years of experience in valuation and discuss the processes involved in arriving at a value for a particular property. She will also share how that process differs between commercial and residential properties and the difficulties which regional property valuations can present.

Sally will unpack the importance and cost of regular valuations on your properties, discuss whether presentation and owner input can sway a valuation and share what you should look for when seeking a reputable property valuer.

If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on iTunes (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: FacebookTwitter and LinkedIn.

If you have any questions about what you heard today, any topics of interest you have in mind, or if you’d like to lend your voice to the show, email [email protected] for more insights!

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Gavin Kemp and his now-fiancé bought their first property together after only six months of dating. They weren’t even living together at the time. Now, two years on, the pair have bought five properties, sold two and have a solid plan in place for their ongoing property journey. 

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In this episode of the Smart Property Investment Show, Gavin joins host Phil Tarrant to discuss how he chose the locations where he decided to invest and how, due to the initial lack of education (something that he now values highly), he lost money on his first two investments.

Gavin will share his thoughts on the current property market, reveal the people who he has leaned on throughout his property journey and discuss why his strategy employs a zero procrastination rule.

If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on iTunes (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: FacebookTwitter and LinkedIn.

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A joint property portfolio before they were even living together

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