Finance advice

Cash rate could continue to fall

By Reporter

Despite near certainty earlier in 2014 that the next cash rate movement would be an increase, speculation is mounting that the RBA will make at least one rate cut in 2015.

Ahead of the September cash rate announcement, all but two of the 25 economists, experts and commentators surveyed by comparison website finder.com.au said rates would rise in 2015 – with 10 forecasting rates would rise in the first half of the year and 13 in the second half.

Now, some are reassessing their forecasts.

Further back, in July, finder.com.au money expert Michelle Hutchinson warned that elevated rates could become the new norm.

“While lenders are competing harder to lock in borrowers with a fixed home loan, the finder.com.au monthly Reserve Bank Survey shows that we can expect to see interest rates rise to a new normal level of 150 basis points higher from next year,” she said ahead of the August rate announcement.

“Most of our experts believe the cash rate won’t reach the historical average of about five per cent, but rather reach around four per cent, which is 150 basis points above the current cash rate of 2.5 per cent.”

At the time, AMP senior economist Shane Oliver agreed with these sentiments and signalled that the next movement would probably be a rate hike “around the June quarter”.

A recent slowdown in national income, and subdued confidence, however, has many reassessing their earlier predictions. Mr Oliver now believes the next movement by the RBA will be a cash rate cut.

“For Australia, non-mining activity is likely to continue to pick up pace, but in the face of falling national income and subdued confidence, this will likely require further monetary stimulus in the form of a lower Australian dollar and a further RBA interest rate cut,” he said in his recent ‘Review of 2014, outlook for 2015’.

“If this occurs, then improving conditions in sectors like housing construction, consumer spending, tourism, manufacturing and higher education should see GDP growth move up to around three per cent. At the same time inflation is likely to remain benign.”

Mr Oliver said he now expects the RBA to cut the cash rate to 2.25 per cent early in the year, with a 50 per cent chance of another cut in the June quarter.

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Many investors who would have been successfully approved for finance last year are struggling now to either begin or continue their property investment journey because of the current financial climate.

In this episode of the Smart Property Investment Show, broker John Manciamelli and Momentum Media director Alex Whitlock joins host Tim Neary to discuss how APRA changes and the royal commission have resulted in a tighter lending economy and what that means for Australian investors.

They discuss what traps investors should avoid if they are trying to obtain finance, the four key growth drivers in a property market and unpacking trust structures while revealing one type of trust that you should miss.

If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on iTunes (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: FacebookTwitter and LinkedIn.

If you have any questions about what you heard today, any topics of interest you have in mind, or if you’d like to lend your voice to the show, email [email protected] for more insights!

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More than just bricks and mortar, experts often regard property investment as a ‘game of finance’. As such, a good finance strategy can lead any investor to success.

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When buying property, it’s important to focus on what’s important. Investor Katarina Taurian shares just what exactly is important to her: having the mindset of looking past superficial cosmetic matters and homing in on the structural suitability and potential of a property.

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In this episode of the Smart Property Investment Show, Katarina joins host Tim Neary to unpack her entry into the property market and experiences of rentvesting, and how the Smart Property Investment Show was vital  in a number of decisions which she made along the way.

Katarina discusses about the team that she had help her along the way, why she thinks that you should never skimp on a good solicitor and accountant, and the red flags which tell her why buying a new property doesn’t necessarily mean buying a better property.

If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on iTunes (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: FacebookTwitter and LinkedIn.

If you have any questions about what you heard today, any topics of interest you have in mind, or if you’d like to lend your voice to the show, email [email protected] for more insights!

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Media hype would have you believe that the Australian property market is in dire circumstances at the moment and that there is no money to be made.  But is that really the case?

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In this episode of the Smart Property Investment Show, regular guests Steve and Victor of Right Property Group join host Phil Tarrant to discuss the current state of the Australian property market as it is portrayed in the media, and analyse if things are as dire as we are being led to believe.

They will compare regional markets with capital cities as investment options, reveal some areas which they consider to be poor investments at the moment while also discussing some of the markets where they see future potential.

If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on iTunes (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: FacebookTwitter and LinkedIn.

If you have any questions about what you heard today, any topics of interest you have in mind, or if you’d like to lend your voice to the show, email [email protected] for more insights!

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Surfers Paradise

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More than just bricks and mortar, experts often regard property investment as a ‘game of finance’. As such, a good finance strategy can lead any investor to success.

" ["menu_text"]=> int(1) ["menu_show"]=> int(1) ["page_title"]=> string(53) "Finance Tips and Insights - Smart Property Investment" ["menu-meta_description"]=> string(91) "Financial tips for property investors, from mortgages to cash flow to saving for a deposit." ["secure"]=> int(0) ["page_description"]=> string(11) "sample desc" ["page_rights"]=> NULL ["robots"]=> NULL ["access-view"]=> bool(true) } ["initialized":protected]=> bool(true) ["separator"]=> string(1) "." } ["displayDate"]=> string(19) "2018-09-10 06:23:01" ["slug"]=> string(61) "18524:busting-perceptions-of-a-doom-and-gloom-property-market" ["catslug"]=> string(28) "45:smart-property-investment" ["link"]=> string(81) "/investor-stories-1/18524-busting-perceptions-of-a-doom-and-gloom-property-market" }
Busting perceptions of a doom and gloom property market

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