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House prices to moderate

By Staff Reporter
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The outlook for house prices over the next one to two years has pared back in all states, says a residential property index.

The NAB Residential Property Index has fallen -7 points to +12 in Q4 2014 as house price expectations pared back and rents weakened.

The index said the sentiment is softer in all states and still deeply negative in Western Australia.

NAB chief economist Alan Oster said NSW overtook Queensland as the strongest state in Q4, but Queensland and Victoria were the most optimistic looking forward, with WA the least optimistic, by some margin.

For the first time, NAB said their Quarterly Australian Residential Property Survey also distinguished between first home buyers purchasing for owner occupation and investment purposes.

“The results indicate that first home buyers purchasing for investment purposes accounted for almost eight per cent of total new property demand and just over nine per cent in existing property markets," Mr Oster said.

"This suggests that affordability constraints or potential capital gains are encouraging some first home buyers to delay moving in to their first homes."

NAB expects house prices to moderate because of rising unemployment, sluggish household income growth, affordability concerns, cost of living pressures and high levels of household debt.

However, they said two further interest rates cuts this year should help support house prices a little more than previously expected.

“We are forecasting average house price growth of around four per cent over the year to end-2015 and two per cent over the year to end-2016”, said Mr Oster.

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Karen Davies is a regular listener of the Smart Property Investment Show and is almost ready to leap into the world of property investment in Australia. Taking advantage of her position as a first home buyer and utilising her super for her first investment deposit, Karen shares her plans with host Phil Tarrant. 

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She shares the life altering changes that she will need to make to purchase a property using the strategy which she wishes to employ and discusses how her career changes which have seen her transition from music management to engineering in just seven years have prepared her for such movements.
 
Karen unpacks the strides that she has made so far toward her first property investment, the process of using funds from her super as a deposit and her plans for building a portfolio going forward.




If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on iTunes (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn.


If you have any questions about what you heard today, any topics of interest you have in mind, or if you’d like to lend your voice to the show, email [email protected]opertyinvestment.com.au for more insights!


RELATED AREAS OF INTEREST:


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RELATED AREAS OF INTEREST:


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Tune in to the latest episode of Property Showcase, the podcast with the inside track on the products and businesses that will help turbocharge your portfolio, maximise returns and make your overall investment experience seamless and stress-free!

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Creating equity in a falling market and a long-term view of what to expect

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