The outlook for house prices over the next one to two years has pared back in all states, says a residential property index.
The NAB Residential Property Index has fallen -7 points to +12 in Q4 2014 as house price expectations pared back and rents weakened.
The index said the sentiment is softer in all states and still deeply negative in Western Australia.
NAB chief economist Alan Oster said NSW overtook Queensland as the strongest state in Q4, but Queensland and Victoria were the most optimistic looking forward, with WA the least optimistic, by some margin.
For the first time, NAB said their Quarterly Australian Residential Property Survey also distinguished between first home buyers purchasing for owner occupation and investment purposes.
“The results indicate that first home buyers purchasing for investment purposes accounted for almost eight per cent of total new property demand and just over nine per cent in existing property markets," Mr Oster said.
"This suggests that affordability constraints or potential capital gains are encouraging some first home buyers to delay moving in to their first homes."
NAB expects house prices to moderate because of rising unemployment, sluggish household income growth, affordability concerns, cost of living pressures and high levels of household debt.
However, they said two further interest rates cuts this year should help support house prices a little more than previously expected.
“We are forecasting average house price growth of around four per cent over the year to end-2015 and two per cent over the year to end-2016”, said Mr Oster.
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In this episode of the Smart Property Investment Show, Will joins host Phil Tarrant to share why he is purchasing his first property in partnership with his brother, discuss the complications that can arise from such a strategy, and unpack the ongoing plan for building a joint property portfolio with his brother.
Will will also share how they approached saving for their first property, why he is taking out the mortgage in his name exclusively, and share their savings plan for the year ahead.
If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on iTunes (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn.
If you have any questions about what you heard today, any topics of interest you have in mind, or if you’d like to lend your voice to the show, email [email protected] for more insights!
RELATED AREAS OF INTEREST:
From property in Australia to a ski lodge in Japan
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Should a real estate title be in one person’s name only?
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Median house prices in the regions rose 4.0 per cent to $419,500 but in Melbourne they dipped by 0.6 of a percentage point to $840,000.
The result in Melbourne was due to a 0.8 of a percentage point fall in prices achieved at auction; this was despite a lift of 2.3 per cent in private sales.
Inner Melbourne suffered due to auction prices, where median prices fell by 4.9 per cent to $1,459,000 but it was middle Melbourne that was hardest hit, with a 5.4 per cent drop to $974,500.
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Mr Simpson said moving forward that vendors need more realistic expectations as the highs of 2017 are now over.
“Negative chatter about the future of the sector coupled with stronger lending controls by financial institutions has created some uncertainty and vendors need to be realistic with their price expectations,” Mr Simpson said.
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Mark will also address the common concerns, discuss what his company Maisonnets specialise in and unpack how they are making the process of filling short term rentals easier for investors.
If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on iTunes (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn.
If you have any questions about what you heard today, any topics of interest you have in mind, or if you’d like to lend your voice to the show, email [email protected] for more insights!
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Airbnb reforms unpacked for property investors
Airbnb leasing: What are a landlord’s rights and responsibilities?
AREAS MENTIONED:
Melbourne
Sydney
Rushcutters Bay
Maroubra
Potts Point
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